LONG
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 13%
Precious metals: 23%
Japanese/Asian equities: 16%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Energy stocks: 13%
SHORT
S&P 500: 14%
NASDAQ 100: 10%
CASH
16%
Note: Positions are as of Jan. 14, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
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Here's my portfolio based on my trading system built around the Commitments of Traders reports issued weekly by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. I'll update this page as I make trades based on my COTs Timer system or to reflect major changes in the asset values.
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DISCLAIMER
I created this blog to record my personal, subjective observations about the markets, solely for my entertainment and that of interested readers and to foster research. Nothing on this blog should be construed as financial advice or an offer or recommendation to purchase or sell any security. I encourage anyone interested in the markets to do your own homework and/or consult a professional advisor. I am not a certified financial advisor and am still refining my trading system. I reserve the right to modify or stop publishing aspects of my system at any time or to delay updating my tables for whatever reason, or I may not do so in a timely manner. My system has resulted in very large drawdowns in some trades. Past backtested and real-time results are no guarantee of future performance. I will not be liable for any losses or damages of any kind that result from the content of this site. Although I consider the data, calculations and information on this blog to be reliable, I can't make any guarantees and won't be held liable or responsible for anything erroneous on this website. You are solely responsible for implementing safeguards of your data and system when you use this site and its content and links. It is up to the user of this site and content to protect yourself from worms, trojan horses, viruses and the like. I may hold positions in some of the securities mentioned in this blog.
DISCLAIMER
I created this blog to record my personal, subjective observations about the markets, solely for my entertainment and that of interested readers and to foster research. Nothing on this blog should be construed as financial advice or an offer or recommendation to purchase or sell any security. I encourage anyone interested in the markets to do your own homework and/or consult a professional advisor. I am not a certified financial advisor and am still refining my trading system. I reserve the right to modify or stop publishing aspects of my system at any time or to delay updating my tables for whatever reason, or I may not do so in a timely manner. My system has resulted in very large drawdowns in some trades. Past backtested and real-time results are no guarantee of future performance. I will not be liable for any losses or damages of any kind that result from the content of this site. Although I consider the data, calculations and information on this blog to be reliable, I can't make any guarantees and won't be held liable or responsible for anything erroneous on this website. You are solely responsible for implementing safeguards of your data and system when you use this site and its content and links. It is up to the user of this site and content to protect yourself from worms, trojan horses, viruses and the like. I may hold positions in some of the securities mentioned in this blog.
2 comments:
Good morning. I've been watching your posts with interest on Kitco and decided to dig a bit further into your site. Your willingness to share your observations here is great. I've been through the various sections and have a few questions.
1) Was the Spanish Wells trip as good as it sounded? If so, do you have a contact to reach for accommodations there? Looking for a place like that...they're getting harder to find.
2) Would you consider real time posting the ETFs you're using in response to your weekly trade setups/portfolio allocations & changes including purchase price, your targeted timeframe for trade to run (if applicable) and what your stops are? I've connected the dots on everything else on the spreadsheet and (while not fool proof - nothing is) it makes sense.
3) I see you've taken a bit of heat over the gold rise vs. the signals of late. Yet your portfolio is fairly steady with 20-25% precious metals long position. Any chance you could break down your PM long portfolio allocation? From the latest spreadsheet I assume your portfolio is out of gold (for now), long silver, XGD and HUI but would like to know more.
Thanks.
Hi Lance,
1) Yes, it was great. Here's one good listing of cottages in Spanish Wells, Eleuthera and Harbour Island: http://bahamasvacationhomes.com/. Here's where we stayed: http://greatrentals.com/bahamas/19084.html. Very nice people.
2) I might consider adding that info, but right now I'm focusing on a year-end exercize of refining my trading setups, so that's occupying most of my time.
3) I took the silver signal with SLV and gold stocks with XGD (traded in Toronto). My newly revised XGD setup follows the same signals as my HUI setup. I didn't put on any trade for the gold setup itself (either long in the summer or short more recently) because I was already maxxed out for this sector with XGD and SLV.
Regards,
Alex
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