LONG
-

SHORT
SPX: +3.6% since entry Dec. 15

Closed trades (within past week)
-

Notes:
- Positions are as of 10:30 a.m. Monday, Dec. 29.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how the security I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
-

SHORT
SPX: +0.55% since entry Dec. 15

Closed trades
Nikkei: +6.2% (entry Nov. 17, exit Dec. 18)

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of Tuesday, Dec. 23.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how the security I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
Nikkei: +6.1% since entry Nov. 17

SHORT
SPX: entry Dec. 15

Closed trades
Dow Jones industrials: -13% (entry Dec. 8, exit Dec. 12)

Notes:
- Positions are as of 10 a.m., Dec. 15.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how the security I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
Nikkei: +3.5% since entry Nov. 17
Dow Jones industrials: +0.9% since entry Dec. 8

SHORT
-


Notes:
- Positions are as of 1:30 p.m., Dec. 8.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
Nikkei: 8.6% portfolio allocation (entry Nov. 17)

SHORT
-

CASH
91.4%*

Notes:
* My Black Swan Risk-Control Rule was in effect until Nov. 17. See more in this post.
- Positions are as of the open of Nov. 17, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
-

SHORT
-

CASH
100%*

Notes:
* My Black Swan Risk-Control Rule is in effect until Nov. 17. See more in this post.
- Positions are as of the open of Oct. 23, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
Gold bullion: 22% weight in portfolio (-19.1% gain since Oct. 6)
NASDAQ 100: 13% (-17.5% gain since Oct. 6)

SHORT
U.S. long-dated bonds: 33% (+18.4% gain since entry Sept. 29)

CASH
66%

CLOSED TRADES (week of Oct. 20)
Natural gas: -22.2% gain since entry Sept. 22

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of Oct. 20, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
Gold bullion: 28% weight in portfolio (3.0% gain since Oct. 6)
NASDAQ 100: 15% (-14.4% gain since Oct. 6)
Natural gas: 9% (-25.5% since entry Sept. 22)

SHORT
U.S. long-dated bonds: 28% (+0.2% gain since entry Sept. 29)

CASH
60%

CLOSED TRADES (week of Oct. 6)
U.S. financials: -32.6% gain since entry Sept. 22 (sold on open, Oct. 6)
Crude oil: -42.0% gain since entry Aug. 18 (sold on open, Oct. 7)

Notes:
- Positions are as of the close of Oct. 7, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
U.S. financials: 22% weight as percentage of total assets (-12.8% gain since entry Sept. 22)
Crude oil: 16% (-14.2% since entry Aug. 18)
Natural gas: 10% (-13.4% since entry Sept. 22)

SHORT
U.S. long-dated bonds: 26% (entry Sept. 29)

CASH
64%

CLOSED TRADES (on Sept. 29)
Canadian long-dated bonds: -0.6% since entry Aug. 13, 2007

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of Sept. 29, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
U.S. financials: 23% (-9.3% since entry Sept. 22)
Crude oil: 16% (-14.2% since entry Aug. 18)
Natural gas: 12% (+8.6% since entry Sept. 22)
Long-dated bonds: 9% (+1.4% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
-

CASH
66%

CLOSED TRADES (on Sept. 22)
Russell 2000: -12.1% since entry Aug. 25
NASDAQ 100: -15.3% since entry Aug. 4
Copper: -10.8% since entry Aug. 25
U.S. financials: -22.8% since entry Sept. 22

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of Sept. 23, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
NASDAQ 100: 16% (-9.7% since entry Aug. 4)
Copper: 16% (-11% since entry Aug. 25)
Crude oil: 12% (-30.7% since entry Aug. 18)
Russell 2000: 12% (-8.6% since entry Aug. 25)
Long-dated bonds: 9% (+2.4% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
U.S. financials: 26% (entry Sept. 15)

CASH
37%

CLOSED TRADES (Sept. 15)
U.S. financials (long): +2.6% gain since entry July 14
Natural gas (long): -14.7% since entry Sept. 2

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of Sept. 15, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My own return may differ from the market return because of how well the fund I use tracks the market. In some cases, my return is based on a leveraged fund and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
U.S. financials: 26% portfolio weight (+3.9% gain since entry July 14)
NASDAQ 100: 18% (+5.6% since entry Aug. 4)
Crude oil: 17% (-0.7% since entry Aug. 18)
Japanese/Asian equities: 14% (entry Aug. 25)
Russell 2000: 12% (entry Aug. 25)
Copper: 10% (entry Aug. 25)
Long-dated bonds: 8% (+2.2% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
-

CASH
27%

CLOSED TRADES (Aug. 25)
Gold bullion (long): -17.9% since entry June 2
Russell 2000 (short): -0.6% since entry Aug. 18

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of August 26, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns on ongoing and closed trades are based on my own positions, not the underlying market prices. My returns are in some cases based on leveraged positions and may also include currency exchange into Canadian dollars.

LONG
U.S. financials: 28% portfolio weight (+13.5% gain since entry July 14)
Gold bullion: 17% (-22.4% since entry June 2)
NASDAQ 100: 19% (+13.3% since entry Aug. 4)
Long-dated bonds: 8% (+2.7% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
Russell 2000: 13% portfolio weight (entry Aug. 18)

CASH
46%

CLOSED TRADES (Aug. 18)
Natural gas: -9% since entry Aug. 11

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of August 18, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts, except for the Japanese/Asian equities trade (see note below).

LONG
U.S. financials: 29% portfolio weight (+21.5% gain since entry July 14)
Gold bullion: 19% (-9.8% since entry June 2)
NASDAQ 100: 18% (+10.8% since entry Aug. 4)
Long-dated bonds: 8% (+2.4% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)
Natural gas: 11% (entry Aug. 11)

SHORT
n/a

CASH
54%

Notes:
- Positions are as of the open of August 11, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts, except for the Japanese/Asian equities trade (see note below).

LONG
U.S. financials: 26% (+10.7% gain since entry July 14)
Gold bullion: 24% portfolio weight (+15.6% since entry June 2)
Crude oil: 13% (+21.4% since entry April 21)
Russell 2000: 11% (-12.4% since entry June 23)
Long-dated bonds: 8% (+1.0% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)
Natural gas: 4% (-39.0% since entry June 23)

SHORT
n/a

CASH
53%

CLOSED POSITIONS (July 21)
Japanese/Asian equities: -2.0% since entry July 7*

Notes:
- Positions are as of the close of July 21, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts, except for the Japanese/Asian equities trade (see note below).
* Japanese/Asian equities return is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal.

LONG
Gold bullion: 24% portfolio weight (15.8% gain since entry June 2)
U.S. financials: 24% (entry July 14)
Crude oil: 16% (+48.0% since entry April 21)
Japanese/Asian equities: 14% (+1.3% since entry July 7)*
Russell 2000: 11% (-17.3% since entry June 23)
Long-dated bonds: 8% (+1.4% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)
Natural gas: 5% (-22.1% since entry June 23)

SHORT
n/a

CASH
39%

CLOSED POSITIONS (July 14)
U.S. financials short: +26.3% since entry June 16
S&P 500: -14.5% since entry April 21
NASDAQ 100: -1.3% since entry July 7

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of July 14, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts, except for the Japanese/Asian equities trade (see note below).
* Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal.

LONG
Gold bullion: 21% portfolio weight (7.0% gain since entry June 2)
Crude oil: 15% (+42.0% since entry April 21)
Japanese/Asian equities: 14% (entry July 7)
Silver: 12% (2% since entry June 16)
Russell 2000: 10% (-20.9% since entry June 23)
SPX: 10% (-11.1% since entry April 21)
Long-dated bonds: 7% (+1.3% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)
Natural gas: 6% (-6.0% since entry June 23)

SHORT
U.S. financials: 30% (+33.0% since entry June 16)

CASH
19%

Notes:
- Positions are as of July 7, 2008, after closing. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts.
* Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal - rather than my actual profit - because the initial trade was closed in one account and moved to a different account using another security to play the signal.

LONG
Gold bullion: 20% portfolio weight (2% gain since entry June 2)
Crude oil: 14% (+30.1% since entry April 21)
Japanese/Asian equities: 15% (Nikkei +7.1% since entry Feb. 11*)
Silver: 12% (-0.3% since entry June 16)
Russell 2000: 12% (entry June 23)
NASDAQ 100: 12% (entry June 23)
SPX: 11% (-6.2% since entry April 21)
Long-dated bonds: 7% (+1.7% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
U.S. financials: 24% (+4% since entry June 16)

CASH
14%

CLOSED POSITIONS (June 23)
Russell 2000: -4.8% since entry June 16
Natural gas: -7.7% since entry June 16

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of June 23, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts.
* Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal - rather than my actual profit - because the initial trade was closed in one account and moved to a different account using another security to play the signal.

LONG
Gold bullion: 20% portfolio weight (-1% gain since entry June 2)
Crude oil: 15% (+35.9% since entry April 21)
Japanese/Asian equities: 16% (Nikkei +7.3% since entry Feb. 11*)
Silver: 13% (entry June 16)
SPX: 12% (-2.2% since entry April 21)
Long-dated bonds: 7% (+1.2% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
U.S. financials: 22% (entry June 16)
Natural gas: 7% (entry June 16)
Russell 2000: 6% (entry June 16)

CASH
18%

CLOSED POSITIONS (June 16)
U.S. banks: -13.0% since entry May 27
NASDAQ 100: -7.6% entry June 9
Russell 2000: -2.0% since entry May 26
Natural gas: +92.0% since entry Feb. 11

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of June 16, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts.
* Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal - rather than my actual profit - because the initial trade was closed in one account and moved to a different account using another security to play the signal.

LONG
Gold bullion: 20% portfolio weight (+2.4% gain since entry June 2)
U.S. banks: 19% (-10.0% since entry May 27)
Crude oil: 15% (+37.8% since entry April 21)
Japanese/Asian equities: 15% (Nikkei +11.3% since entry Feb. 11*)
NASDAQ 100: 14% (entry June 9)
SPX: 12% (-1.6% since entry April 21)
Russell 2000: 11% (+2.2% entry May 26)
Natural gas: 10% (+89.3% since entry Feb. 11)
Long-dated bonds: 7% (+2.6% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)

SHORT
-

CASH
19%

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of June 9, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts.
* Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal - rather than my actual profit - because the initial trade was closed in one account and moved to a different account using another security to play the signal.

LONG
U.S. banks: 21% portfolio weight (+0.4% since entry May 27)
Gold bullion: 20% (entry June 2)
Japanese/Asian equities: 16% (Nikkei +9.9% return since entry Feb. 11*)
Crude oil: 13% (+18.3% since entry April 21)
SPX: 12% (0.5% since entry April 21)
Russell 2000: 11% (+2.1% entry May 26)
Natural gas: 9% (+62.9% since entry Feb. 11)
Long-dated bonds: 7% (+2.0% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)
NASDAQ 100: 0% (closed position June 2; -1.9% since entry April 28)

SHORT
-

CASH
26%

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of June 2, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts.
* Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal - rather than my actual profit - because the initial trade was closed in one account and moved to a different account using another security to play the signal.

LONG
U.S. banks: 21% portfolio weight (entry May 27)
Japanese/Asian equities: 15% (Nikkei +5.2% return since entry Feb. 11)
Crude oil: 14% (+28.8% since entry April 21)
NASDAQ 100: 14% (-6.5% since entry April 28)
SPX: 12% (-2.3% since entry April 21)
Russell: 11% (entry May 26)
Natural gas: 10% (+74.9% since entry Feb. 11)
Long-dated bonds: 7% (+2.5% since entry Aug. 13, 2007)
Base metal miners: 0% (+5.6% since entry April 28, closed May 26)

SHORT
U.S. banks: 0% (+19.4% since entry May 5, closed May 26)

CASH
29%

Notes:
- Positions are as of the morning of May 27, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.
- Returns are not adjusted for leveraged positions. In other words, these are the actual returns in my accounts.
- Japanese/Asian equities profit is based on the Nikkei's return since the beginning of this signal - rather than my actual profit - because the initial trade was closed in one account and moved to a different account using another security to play the signal.

LONG
Base metal miners: 18%
Japanese/Asian equities: 17%
NASDAQ 100: 15%
SPX: 13%
Crude oil: 11%
Long-dated bonds: 8%
Natural gas: 8%

SHORT
U.S. banks: 22%

CASH
29%

Note: Positions are as of May 5, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
U.S. banks: 28%
Base metal miners: 18%
Japanese/Asian equities: 17%
Russell 2000: 13%
SPX: 13%
Silver: 12%
Crude oil: 12%
Gold stocks: 7%
Long-dated bonds: 8%
Natural gas: 9%

SHORT
-

CASH
12%

Note: Positions are as of April 28, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
U.S. banks: 26%
Japanese/Asian equities: 16%
Silver: 12%
NASDAQ-100: 12%
Russell 2000: 12%
SPX: 12%
Crude oil: 11%
Gold stocks: 8%
Long-dated bonds: 8%
Natural gas: 8%

SHORT
Base metal miners: 14%

CASH
9%

Note: Positions are as of April 21, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
U.S. banks: 27%
Japanese/Asian equities: 16%
Silver: 12%
NASDAQ-100: 11%
Russell 2000: 11%
Gold stocks: 8%
Long-dated bonds: 8%
Natural gas: 6%

SHORT
Base metal miners: 15%
S&P 500: 11%
Crude oil: 9%

CASH
15%

Note: Positions are as of April 7, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
U.S. banks: 24%
Japanese/Asian equities: 16%
Silver: 12%
Russell 2000: 11%
Long-dated bonds: 8%
Gold stocks: 8%
Natural gas: 7%

SHORT
Base metal miners: 17%
S&P 500: 12%
Crude oil: 9%

CASH
21%

Note: Positions are as of March 31, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
U.S. banks: 28%
Japanese/Asian equities: 15%
S&P 500: 14%
Long-dated bonds: 8%
Natural gas: 6%

SHORT
Global miners: 18%
Gold bullion: 13%
Crude oil: 9%
Russell 2000: 8%

CASH
30%

Note: Positions are as of March 24, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
U.S. banks: 22%
Russell: 17%
Japanese/Asian equities: 15%
Energy stocks: 13%
S&P 500: 12%
NASDAQ 100: 9%
Gold stocks: 7%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Natural gas: 6%

SHORT
-

CASH
19%

Note: Positions are as of March 3, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
Russell: 16%
Japanese/Asian equities: 15%
Energy stocks: 12%
S&P 500: 12%
NASDAQ 100: 9%
Gold stocks: 7%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Natural gas: 5%

SHORT
U.S. bank stocks: 22%

CASH
19%

Note: Positions are as of Feb. 25, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
Precious metals: 24%
Russell: 17%
Japanese/Asian equities: 15%
Energy stocks: 13%
S&P 500: 13%
NASDAQ 100: 10%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Natural gas: 5%

SHORT
n/a

CASH
13%

Note: Positions are as of Feb. 20, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
Precious metals: 24%
Japanese/Asian equities: 15%
Energy stocks: 13%
S&P 500: 13%
NASDAQ 100: 10%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Natural gas: 5%

SHORT
n/a

CASH
29%

Note: Positions are as of Feb. 15, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
Precious metals: 23%
Japanese/Asian equities: 16%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Energy stocks: 13%

SHORT
S&P 500: 14%
NASDAQ 100: 10%

CASH
29%

Note: Positions are as of Feb. 5, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 13%
Precious metals: 23%
Japanese/Asian equities: 16%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Energy stocks: 13%

SHORT
S&P 500: 14%
NASDAQ 100: 10%

CASH
16%

Note: Positions are as of Jan. 14, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
North American stock indexes: 42%
Precious metals: 21%
Japanese/Asian equities: 9%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Energy stocks: 5%

SHORT
NASDAQ 100: 9%

CASH
11%

Note: Positions are as of Jan. 4, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.

LONG
North American stock indexes: 55%
Precious metals: 28%
Japanese/Asian equities: 9%
Long-dated bonds: 7%
Energy stocks: 5%*

SHORT
n/a

CASH
1%

*The energy stocks are a hedge for my U.S. currency against the Canadian dollar, for which I have a bullish signal.

Note: Positions are as of Jan. 3, 2008. Numbers may exceed 100% due to leveraged trades or may not equal 100% due to rounding.